Sandbag: In its extended form, CBAM could remove up to 432 million free allowances per year

According to a new report from the environmental think tank Sandbag, supported by the Konrad-Adenauer Foundation, the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) in its current form would remove 246 million free allowances per year compared to 2023.

European Carbon Market Posts 2.6% Weekly Gain as Gas Prices Jump 8%

The European carbon market ended lower on Friday but still posted a weekly gain of 2.6% in what was described by Carbon Pulse as a very calm session, with EUAs trading “in the narrowest daily range in four years.”

Rising Gas Pushes European Carbon Prices Slightly Higher

On the European carbon market, prices edged higher on Wednesday, supported by stronger gas. The EUA Dec’25 contract touched an intraday high of €71.54 before closing at €71.29, a modest daily gain of €0.13.

Speculative Traders Significantly Reduce Bets on Rising Carbon Prices

The most recent Commitment of Traders (CoT) report, published by ICE this morning, revealed that investment funds cut their net long positions (longs minus shorts) to 20.2 million allowances, down from 28.8 million the week before.

EU Emissions Outpace GDP Growth in the First Quarter of 2025

According to a recent Eurostat report, emissions in the European Union rose by 3.4% in the first quarter of this year compared with the same period in 2024. This marks the second consecutive quarter of rising emissions, following a 2.2% increase in the final quarter of 2024.

Carbon Market Posts Sharp Weekly Drop Amid Weakness in Energy-Related Markets

Ahead of the Trump-Putin summit and following sharp declines in energy-related markets, the European carbon market also moved lower, though at a more moderate pace. On Friday, EUA Dec’25 closed at €70.68, its lowest in three weeks, recording a daily drop of €0.28 and a weekly decline of 3.46%.

EU Fossil Fuel Power Increases in First Half of 2025

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), gas-fired power generation in the European Union rose by roughly 20% in the first half of this year compared with the same period in 2024. Coal-fired generation also increased, though more modestly, by about 3%.

Speculative traders significantly increased their bets on rising carbon prices

The latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report from the ICE platform reveals that, at the end of last week, investment funds expanded their net long positions to 17 million allowances, up from 14.95 million the previous week.

European Carbon Prices Reach Five-Week High

Yesterday, the European carbon market experienced a strong rebound, with the EUA Dec’25 contract climbing 3.44% to settle at €73.08—the highest closing level since June 24. Trading activity also saw a notable increase, with 32 million allowances exchanged, a volume not seen in the past five weeks.

EEX Releases 2025 Update and 2026 Auction Calendar

On Monday, the European Energy Exchange (EEX) published the revised 2025 auction calendar along with the newly introduced 2026 schedule. The update reflects adjusted volumes due to reductions by the Market Stability Reserve (MSR), based on the 2024 Total Number of Allowances in Circulation (TNAC), released by the European Commission in May.