
Alina TEODORESCU
Speculative Funds Cut Bullish Carbon Price Bets
Investors’ aggregate market exposure drops to its lowest level in almost two years amid cautious trading sentiment
20 mai 2026
The latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report released by the ICE platform on Wednesday morning indicates that investment funds resumed reducing their net long positions — the difference between long and short positions — after briefly pausing the decline the previous week.
According to market data available as of last Friday, net long positions decreased by 2 million allowances compared with the previous week, marking a decline of approximately 5%. As a result, total net long exposure fell to 38.66 million allowances.

Net long positions peaked in mid-January at around 126 million allowances. Since then, they have declined by roughly 70%, pointing to a sharp deterioration in investor confidence regarding further upside potential and signalling a more bearish outlook for EUA prices.
The decline in net length was primarily driven by a significant reduction in long positions, which fell to 61.4 million allowances — the lowest level since mid-August. In contrast, short positions remained broadly stable, posting only a modest increase of 0.59 million allowances over the same period.
Notably, aggregate market exposure — measured as the combined total of long and short holdings — has contracted significantly in recent months, falling from a record 180.5 million allowances in mid-January to just 84.1 million allowances, marking the lowest level in almost two years.
A low level of aggregate exposure generally reflects a more cautious and defensive sentiment across the market, a trend that is also supported by recent market data showing that prices remained largely stable over the past week, fluctuating within a relatively narrow trading range.



